{"id":23876,"date":"2019-11-06T18:39:25","date_gmt":"2019-11-06T10:39:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.fortunetimes.sg\/cn\/?p=23876"},"modified":"2019-11-06T18:50:49","modified_gmt":"2019-11-06T10:50:49","slug":"%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e6%9c%80%e7%b3%9f%e7%b3%95%e6%97%b6%e5%88%bb%e6%88%96%e5%b7%b2%e7%bb%93%e6%9d%9f%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/az.c.adneti.net\/cn\/?p=23876","title":{"rendered":"\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6700\u7cdf\u7cd5\u65f6\u523b\u6216\u5df2\u7ed3\u675f\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"667\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fortunetimes.sg\/cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/istock-967813376-1800.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23879\" srcset=\"https:\/\/az.c.adneti.net\/cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/istock-967813376-1800.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/az.c.adneti.net\/cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/istock-967813376-1800-300x200.jpg 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\/><figcaption>\u5404\u79cd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6307\u6807\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u7ecf\u9010\u6b65\u8d8b\u7a33\u3002\uff08\u56fe\uff1a\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\uff09<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\uff08\u9999\u6e2f2019\u5e7411\u67086\u65e5\uff09\u5386\u7ecf\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u7f13\u6162\u589e\u957f\u540e\uff0c\u5404\u79cd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6307\u6807\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u7ecf\u9010\u6b65\u8d8b\u7a33\uff0c\u4f4e\u8ff7\u671f\u6599\u5373\u5c06\u7ed3\u675f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5404\u4e2a\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u5185\uff0c\u76f8\u7ee7\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u4e3a\u65f6\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u9884\u8ba1\u968f\u7740\u672c\u6708\u5373\u5c06\u7b7e\u7f72\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u800c\u51fa\u73b0\u8f6c\u673a\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u4e70\u6c14\u56de\u7b3c\uff0c\u79cd\u79cd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u6307\u6807\u5747\u6307\u5411\u201c\u7a33\u5b9a\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u672a\u770b\u89c1\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u4f46\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6307\u6807\u663e\u793a\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u6d88\u9664\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u5feb\u901f\u8fdb\u5165\u8870\u9000\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u81f3\u5c11\uff0c\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c1b\u56f4\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\uff0e\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\uff08Jerome Powell \uff09\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u80fd\u591f\u7a0d\u7f13\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6e23\u6253\u94f6\u884c\uff08Standard Chartered\uff09\u9a7b\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u7684\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u6234\u7ef4\u66fc\uff08David Mann\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u786e\u5b9e\u770b\u5230\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd42019\u5e74\uff0c2020\u5e74\u7684\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u76f8\u5bf9\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u4e5f\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08IMF\uff09\u6301\u540c\u6837\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u5373\u9884\u671f\u660e\u5e74\u7684\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u4f1a\u52a0\u901f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6234\u7ef4\u66fc\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u4ee5\u4e0b\u51e0\u4e2a\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u98ce\u5411\u6807\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\uff08JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co\uff09\u7684<a href=\"https:\/\/www.markiteconomics.com\/Public\/Home\/PressRelease\/f211439278174b239f65c3a6051a2db6\">\u5168\u7403\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570<\/a>\u572810\u6708\u4efd\u5df2\u7ecf\u662f\u8fde\u7eed6\u4e2a\u6708\u5904\u4e8e\u840e\u7f29\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u610f\u5373\u4f4e\u4e8e50\u8363\u67af\u7ebf \u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4ea7\u91cf\u548c\u8ba2\u5355\u8d70\u7a33\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u5b9e\u9645\u662f\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u6216\u8bb8\u65e9\u57287\u6708\u4efd\u7ecf\u5df2\u89e6\u5e95\u3002<\/li><li>\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f9b\u5e94\u7ba1\u7406\u534f\u4f1a\uff08ISM\uff09\u6700\u65b0\u7684<a href=\"https:\/\/www.instituteforsupplymanagement.org\/ISMReport\/MfgROB.cfm?SSO=1\">10\u6708\u4efd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570<\/a>\u540c\u6837\u8d8b\u7a33\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\uff0811\u67081\u65e5\uff09\u516c\u5e03\u7684<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/empsit.nr0.htm\">\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u62a5\u544a<\/a>\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u5e45\u8d85\u8fc7\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4e14\u524d\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u5e45\u4e5f\u88ab\u4fee\u6b63\u5f97\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f9b\u5e94\u7ba1\u7406\u534f\u4f1a\u7684\u670d\u52a1\u6307\u6570\u4e5f\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u6539\u5584\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002<\/li><li>\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\uff0c\u5728\u53d7\u5230\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u9000\u6b27\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u540e\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u521d\u6b65\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002\u5728\u6b27\u76df\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e5f\u65e9\u5df2\u5904\u4e8e\u8870\u9000\u4e2d\uff0c\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u770b\u597d\u662f\u65f6\u5019\u53cd\u5f39\u3002\u603b\u90e8\u4f4d\u4e8e\u6155\u5c3c\u9ed1\u7684\u5fb7\u56fd\u4e3b\u8981\u667a\u5e93\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u4f0a\u5f17\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff08IFO Institute\uff09\u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u9884\u671f10\u6708\u4efd\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/li><li>\u56de\u5230\u4e9a\u6d32\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u97e9\u56fd9\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u5e93\u5b58\u5199\u4e0b\u4e24\u5e74\u591a\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\uff0c\u8ff9\u8c61\u8868\u660e\u5168\u7403\u79d1\u6280\u4e1a\u7684\u8870\u9000\u671f\u6b63\u5728\u7ed3\u675f\u3002 <\/li><li>\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e5f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u4e50\u89c2\u3002\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u6536\u76ca\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u79ef\u6781\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u5e26\u52a8\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u80a1\u5e02\u672c\u5468\u4e00\uff0811\u67084\u65e5\uff09\u5237\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002\u9053\u743c\u65af\u5de5\u4e1a\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6570\u5f53\u5929\u6536\u4e8e2\u4e077462.11\u70b9\uff0c\u4e0a\u6da80.4%\uff0c\u6bd47\u6708\u4efd\u521b\u4e0b\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\u9ad8\u51fa\u7ea6105\u70b9\u3002 <\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5bf9\u51b2\u57fa\u91d1\u5de8\u5934\u3001\u4ebf\u4e07\u5bcc\u7fc1Paul Tudor Jones\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u53ea\u770b\u8d22\u653f\/\u8d27\u5e01\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u6211\u89c1\u8fc7\u7684\u6700\u6fc0\u52a8\u4eba\u5fc3\u7684\uff08\u8868\u73b0\uff09\u3002\u96be\u602a\u80a1\u5e02\u5c61\u521b\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u548c\u529b\u5ea6\u662f\u6211\u6240\u89c1\u8fc7\u6700\u6709\u5229\u7684\u73af\u5883\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\u6211\u662f\u8bf4\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u51fa\u73b0\u8fd9\u79cd\u8f6c\u53d8\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5168\u7403\u5404\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u7eb7\u7eb7\u964d\u606f\u3002\u5728\u5f6d\u535a\u76d1\u6d4b\u768457\u5bb6\u673a\u6784\u4e2d\uff0c\u903e\u534a\u6570\u4eca\u5e74\u524a\u51cf\u4e86\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c\uff08\u5229\u606f\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c31\u4e09\u6b21\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u800c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u66f4\u5c06\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u81f3\u8d1f\u503c\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u964d\u606f\u4e5f\u5b58\u5728\u6ede\u540e\u6027\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5bbd\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u6548\u5e94\u5c1a\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u663e\u73b0\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u8fd8\u4f1a\u56e0\u6b64\u51fa\u73b0\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u6548\u5e94\u3002  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u4e0a\u5468\u6697\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u573a\u662f\u201c\u6070\u5982\u5176\u5206\u201d\uff08appropriate\uff09\u7684\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fdd\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9002\u5ea6\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 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