\n\t\u6cb9\u4ef7\u9ad8\u6da8\u8fc5\u901f\u53d6\u4ee3\u6b27\u6d32\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u4e9a\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6210\u957f\u7684\u6700\u5927\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u6709\u627c\u6740\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u635f\u5bb3\u51fa\u53e3\u5e76\u91cd\u71c3\u901a\u80c0\u4e4b\u865e\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u5e03\u5170\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\uff08Brent crude\uff09\u8d85\u8fc7\u6bcf\u6876128\u7f8e\u5143\u4e5f\u8ba9\u5404\u592e\u884c\u5934\u75bc\u4e0d\u5df2\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u90a3\u4f7f\u5176\u66f4\u96be\u4ee5\u653e\u5bbd\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u6765\u7f13\u548c\u6210\u957f\u51b2\u51fb\u3002\u800c\u53ea\u8981\u662f\u5bf9\u4e9a\u6d32\u6784\u6210\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u5c31\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5371\u53ca\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u6b63\u6307\u671b\u9760\u4e9a\u6d32\u7ef4\u6301\u6210\u957f\uff0c\u6765\u62b5\u9500\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u8870\u9000\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u590d\u82cf\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u91ce\u6751\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u987e\u95eeDavid Resler\u5728\u5ba2\u6237\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa\uff1a"\u5c31\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u964d\u4f4e\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u9996\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\u6cb9\u4ef7\u7684\u6025\u907d\u626c\u5347\u518d\u6210\u4e3a\u524d\u666f\u7684\u6700\u5927\u5a01\u80c1\u3002"<\/p>\n
\n\t\u4e9a\u6d32\u77f3\u6cb9\u9700\u6c42\u4e2d\u6709\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u9760\u8fdb\u53e3\uff0c\u91d1\u989d\u5e9e\u5927\u3002\u91ce\u6751\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u6263\u9664\u65e5\u672c\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u53bb\u5e74\u77f3\u6cb9\u51c0\u8fdb\u53e3\u91d1\u989d\u8fbe4,470\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e2009\u5e74\u548c2010\u5e74\u76842,340\u4ebf\u53ca3,290\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u77f3\u6cb9\u652f\u51fa\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c(GDP)\u5360\u6bd4\u4e5f\u8f83\u897f\u65b9\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u7684\u786e\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u5bf9\u77f3\u6cb9\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u82e5\u6e34\uff0c\u662f\u53bb\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u6210\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u5371\u673a\u8086\u8650\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4ecd\u4ec5\u6e29\u548c\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u4e00\u5927\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u6c47\u4e30\u63a7\u80a1\u5206\u6790\u5e08Frederic Neumann\u5728\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa\uff1a“\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u5c06\u8fd1\u6765\u6cb9\u4ef7\u9ad8\u6da8\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u8fd9\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u5426\u8ba4\uff0c\u4f46\u57fa\u672c\u80cc\u666f\u5219\u662f\u4e9a\u6d32\u5bf9\u539f\u6cb9\u9700\u6c42\u5e9e\u5927\u3002”<\/p>\n
\n\t\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6210\u957f\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u6c34\u5e73\u8fdc\u6bd4\u53d8\u52a8\u5e45\u5ea6\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u539f\u6cb9\u6210\u672c\u5c31\u50cf\u662f\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u9700\u8d1f\u62c5\u7684\u7a0e\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u5e03\u5170\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u5728\u4eca\u5e743\u6708\u521d\u89e6\u53ca128.40\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e09\u5e74\u534a\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u7b49\u4e8e\u6572\u54cd\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8b66\u949f\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t“\u5bf9\u4e9a\u6d32\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u5f53\u524d\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u4e0d\u662f\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u76ee\u524d\u8fd8\u4e0d\u662f\u3002\u5176\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6210\u957f\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\u5bf9\u897f\u65b9\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u5df2\u7136\u770b\u4f3c\u4e0d\u7a33\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u518d\u53d7\u6253\u51fb\u3002”\u4ed6\u89e3\u91ca\u9053\u3002“\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u5728\u5f53\u5730\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4ef7\u683c\u7ee7\u7eed\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u50cf\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u97e9\u56fd\u3001\u6cf0\u56fd\u7b49\u4e00\u4e9b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u53ef\u80fd\u611f\u5230\u75db\u82e6\u3002”<\/p>\n
\n\t\u8861\u91cf\u6cb9\u4ef7\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u591a\u534a\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u63a8\u52a8\u6cb9\u4ef7\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4ef7\u683c\u662f\u56e0\u5168\u7403\u9700\u6c42\u5f3a\u52b2\u800c\u4e0a\u626c\uff0c\u90a3\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u4f1a\u8fdc\u5c0f\u4e8e\u56e0\u4f9b\u5e94\u5f15\u53d1\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u7531\u4e8e\u8bb8\u591a\u673a\u6784\u8fd1\u6765\u7eb7\u7eb7\u4e0b\u4fee\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6210\u957f\u9884\u4f30\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e0d\u662f\u9700\u6c42\u6240\u5e26\u52a8\u3002\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u591a\u6570\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u5c06\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5f62\u52bf\u7d27\u5f20\uff0c\u53ca\u8fd1\u6765\u52a0\u5927\u5bf9\u77f3\u6cb9\u91cd\u8981\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7(IMF)\u5728\u4eca\u5e741\u6708\u66fe\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u82e5\u4f0a\u6717\u5168\u9762\u505c\u6b62\u51fa\u53e3\u77f3\u6cb9\uff0c\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u6cb9\u4ef7\u98d9\u6da8\u591a\u8fbe30%\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6cb9\u4ef7\u5c06\u98d9\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u6876160\u7f8e\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e2008\u5e74\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\uff1b\u5f53\u65f6\u5404\u754c\u5f52\u548e\u6cb9\u4ef7\u9ad8\u6da8\u524a\u5f31\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u5176\u540e\u4e0d\u4e45\u96f7\u66fc\u5144\u5f1f\u7834\u4ea7\u81f4\u4f7f\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9677\u5165\u6df7\u4e71\u3002\u800c\u4e9a\u6d32\u60c5\u52bf\u5219\u5c24\u5176\u5fae\u5999,\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u53ca\u97e9\u56fd\u5747\u4e3a\u4f0a\u6717\u77f3\u6cb9\u7684\u56db\u5927\u8fdb\u53e3\u56fd.<\/p>\n
\n\t\u90e8\u4efd\u56fd\u5bb6\u66f4\u6613\u53d7\u521b<\/strong><\/p>\n \n\t\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6cb9\u4ef7\u82e5\u6301\u7eed\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5bf9\u6574\u4f53\u4e9a\u6d32\u663e\u7136\u5c06\u5e26\u6765\u8d1f\u9762\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u4f46\u5404\u56fd\u4ecd\u5b58\u5728\u76f8\u5f53\u5927\u7684\u6b67\u5f02\u3002\u4ee5\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u8be5\u56fd\u4e3a\u77f3\u6cb9\u7684\u51c0\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5e94\u4e3a\u53d7\u60e0\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n \n\t\u53cd\u89c2\u6cb9\u4ef7\u82e5\u4e0a\u626c10%\uff0c\u5219\u5df4\u514b\u83b1\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4f30\u8ba1\u97e9\u56fd\u6bcf\u6708\u8fdb\u53e3\u77f3\u6cb9\u8d39\u7528\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\u7ea610\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n \n\t\u603b\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u97e9\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5c3c\u3001\u6cf0\u56fd\u53ca\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6700\u6613\u53d7\u5230\u6cb9\u4ef7\u9ad8\u6da8\u7684\u62d6\u7d2f\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ca\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u53d7\u5230\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u8f83\u4f4e\uff0c\u800c\u8eab\u4e3a\u77f3\u6cb9\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd\u7684\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u53ca\u8d8a\u5357\u5219\u53ef\u671b\u56e0\u800c\u53d7\u60e0\u3002<\/p>\n \n\t\u5bf9\u65e5\u672c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u9ad8\u6da8\u770b\u6765\u7edd\u5bf9\u662f\u4ef6\u574f\u4e8b\u3002\u8be5\u56fd\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u7b2c\u4e09\u5927\u77f3\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u56fd\uff0c\u4ece\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\u798f\u5c9b\u6838\u707e\u5bfc\u81f4\u6838\u53cd\u5e94\u7089\u51e0\u8fd1\u6089\u6570\u5173\u95ed\u540e\uff0c\u5176\u5bf9\u8fdb\u53e3\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\u5373\u6709\u589e\u65e0\u51cf\u3002<\/p>\n \n\t\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u65e5\u672c\u8fdb\u53e3\u5546\u5fc5\u987b\u8d2d\u4e70\u66f4\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u652f\u4ed8\u6cb9\u6b3e\uff0c\u800c\u65e5\u5706\u8d2c\u503c\u5bf9\u65e5\u672c\u51fa\u53e3\u4e1a\u8005\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u4e14\u5411\u6765\u4e3a\u8be5\u56fd\u51b3\u7b56\u5b98\u5458\u6240\u4e50\u89c1\u3002\u800c\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9677\u4e8e\u901a\u7f29\u6076\u6027\u6f29\u6da1\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u53d7\u6cb9\u4ef7\u63a8\u52a8\u800c\u53d1\u751f\u4e00\u6ce2\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u662f\u4ef6\u574f\u4e8b.<\/p>\n \n\t\u5728\u8bba\u53ca\u901a\u80c0\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u6da8\u5347\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u8981\u6bd4\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u6c34\u51c6\u6765\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u5347\u52bf\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u8fd8\u6bd4\u4e0d\u4e0a2007\u5e74\u53ca2008\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n \n\t\u5e03\u5170\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u81ea2007\u5e74\u521d\u4f4e\u4f4d50.25\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4e00\u8def\u6500\u5347\u81f32008\u5e747\u6708\u5cf0\u503c147.50\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6da8\u5e45\u9ad8\u8fbe193%\u3002\u800c\u5e03\u5170\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u4eca\u5e74\u8fc4\u4eca\u6da8\u5e45\u4ec5\u8fbe15%\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u671f\u95f4\u76f8\u9694\u65f6\u95f4\u8f83\u77ed\u3002\u82e5\u6cb9\u4ef7\u5c31\u6b64\u8d8b\u7a33\uff0c\u8fd9\u6ce2\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u6240\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u5c06\u76f8\u5bf9\u6e29\u548c\uff0c\u5e94\u4e0d\u81f4\u5bf9\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u9020\u6210\u592a\u5927\u7684\u56f0\u6270\u3002<\/p>\n 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