{"id":6839,"date":"2014-06-06T22:51:28","date_gmt":"2014-06-06T22:51:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.fortunetimes.sg\/cn\/?p=6839"},"modified":"2014-06-06T22:51:28","modified_gmt":"2014-06-06T22:51:28","slug":"E4BB8EE69D8EE59889E8AF9AE5A597E78EB0E8B088E8B5B7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/az.c.adneti.net\/cn\/?p=6839","title":{"rendered":"\u4ece\u674e\u5609\u8bda\u5957\u73b0\u8c08\u8d77"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\n 
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\n 
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\n 
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\n   
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\n 
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\n 
\n\u5bf9\u9999\u6e2f\u7e41\u8363\u8d1f\u6709\u8d23\u4efb<\/strong>
\n 
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\n 
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\n 
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\n 
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\n 
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\n 
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\n 
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\n 
\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u5730\u65b9\u503a\u52a1\u582a\u865e<\/strong>
\n 
\n\u65e0\u72ec\u6709\u5076\uff0c\u5411\u6765\u90fd\u770b\u597d\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u77e5\u540d\u6295\u8d44\u5927\u5e08\u7f57\u6770\u65af\uff08Jim Rogers\uff09\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u4e5f\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e00\u4e9b\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u582a\u865e\u3002\u4ed6\u89c9\u5f97\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u5e76\u4e0d\u53ef\u6015\uff0c\u6700\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u5176\u5b9e\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u503a\u52a1\u3002\u8fd9\u4f4d\u8bed\u4e0d\u60ca\u4eba\u6b7b\u4e0d\u4f11\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u602a\u6770\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u53d7\u8bbf\u95ee\u65f6\uff0c\u7adf\u7136\u8bf4\u76ee\u524d\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u503c\u5f97\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u5730\u70b9\u662f\u671d\u9c9c\uff0c\u4ed6\u613f\u610f\u628a\u5168\u90e8\u8d44\u91d1\u90fd\u62bc\u5230\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6700\u8fd1\u4e0d\u65ad\u4ee5\u53d1\u5c04\u5bfc\u5f39\u5411\u90bb\u56fd\u8000\u6b66\u626c\u5a01\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002
\n 
\n\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u6709\u4e24\u5ea6\u73af\u6e38\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u4ed6\u81ea\u79f0“\u6295\u8d44\u9a91\u58eb”\uff08Investment Biker\uff09\uff0c\u603b\u662f\u72ec\u8f9f\u8e4a\u5f84\uff0c\u4e0d\u8f9e\u5343\u5c71\u4e07\u6c34\uff0c\u5230\u4eba\u70df\u7f55\u53ca\u7684\u5730\u70b9\u5bfb\u627e\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u4ed6\u5bf9\u503a\u53f0\u9ad8\u7b51\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u907f\u4e4b\u552f\u6050\u4e0d\u53ca\uff0c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\uff08Federal Reserve\uff09\u4ee5\u5927\u5370\u949e\u7968\u6765\u89e3\u51b3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u95ee\u9898\u4e0d\u4ee5\u4e3a\u7136\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\u90fd\u62d2\u7edd\u628a\u8d44\u91d1\u653e\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\u540c\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5168\u7403\u8868\u73b0\u6700\u4f73\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u6cbe\u4e0d\u4e0a\u8fb9\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u5b58\u5728\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4ed6\u663e\u7136\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0d\u50cf\u8fc7\u53bb\u90a3\u6837\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e00\u5f80\u60c5\u6df1\u3002\u4ed6\u5de6\u770b\u53f3\u770b\uff0c\u627e\u4e0d\u5230\u4ec0\u4e48\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u5730\u70b9\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u7adf\u7136\u770b\u4e0a\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u524d\u603b\u7edf\u5c0f\u5e03\u4ec0\u773c\u4e2d\u7684“\u90aa\u6076\u8f74\u5fc3\u56fd”\u671d\u9c9c\u3002
\n 
\n\u773c\u5149\u72ec\u5230\u7684\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u5531\u597d\u671d\u9c9c\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e2a\u7406\u7531\u4fbf\u662f\u5982\u679c\u5357\u5317\u97e9\u8d70\u5411\u5408\u5e76\uff0c\u5c06\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u65e2\u62e5\u6709\u9700\u6c42\u65fa\u76db\u7684\u5927\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u53c8\u62e5\u6709\u4e00\u652f\u6559\u80b2\u6c34\u5e73\u504f\u9ad8\u5374\u5de5\u8d44\u4f4e\u5ec9\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u961f\u4f0d\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u5e02\u573a\u6539\u9769\u5f00\u653e\u521d\u671f\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u671d\u9c9c\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u4e5f\u8ba9\u4ed6\u5782\u6d8e\u4e09\u5c3a\u3002
\n 
\n\u8bdd\u867d\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4f46\u5357\u5317\u97e9\u5408\u5e76\u76ee\u524d\u8fd8\u50cf\u662f\u5929\u65b9\u591c\u8c2d\uff0c\u8c01\u4e5f\u8bf4\u4e0d\u51c6\u8fd9\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u75f4\u4eba\u8bf4\u68a6\u3002\u671d\u9c9c\u81f3\u4eca\u4ecd\u672a\u5f00\u653e\u95e8\u6237\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u4e5f\u5e94\u8be5\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5f20\u5f00\u53cc\u81c2\u8fce\u63a5\u6709\u70b9\u7f8e\u56fd\u725b\u4ed4\u4f5c\u98ce\u7684\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u3002\u4e0d\u8981\u5fd8\u8bb0\uff0c\u671d\u9c9c\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u59cb\u7ec8\u8fd8\u662f\u6000\u7740\u654c\u610f——\u867d\u7136\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u7ecf\u662f\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u516c\u6c11\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u671d\u9c9c\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u8d44\u6e90\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6377\u8db3\u5148\u5f97\uff0c\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u662f\u5426\u80fd\u627e\u5230\u6f0f\u7f51\u4e4b\u9c7c\u8fd8\u662f\u4e2a\u7591\u95ee\u3002
\n 
\n\u518d\u8005\uff0c\u80fd\u50cf\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u90a3\u6837\u8dd1\u5230\u5c11\u4eba\u95ee\u6d25\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u6f5c\u4f0f\u5341\u5e74\u516b\u5e74\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u7b49\u5230\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e02\u573a\u5927\u653e\u5f02\u5f69\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5e76\u4e0d\u591a\u3002\u4e00\u822c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u90fd\u5fc5\u987b\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u89c1\u5230\u76c8\u5229\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u4fbf\u987b\u51c6\u5907\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u603b\u4e4b\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684“\u6295\u8d44\u671d\u9c9c\u8bba”\uff0c\u5bf9\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u800c\u8a00\u53ea\u80fd\u8bf4\u662f\u4e2a“\u7b11\u8bdd”\u3002
\n 
\n\u7f8e\u80a1\u6bcf\u4e03\u5e74\u51fa\u73b0\u4e00\u4e2a\u5dc5\u5cf0<\/strong>
\n 
\n\u674e\u5609\u8bda\u548c\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u4e0d\u7ea6\u800c\u540c\u7684\u5bf9\u5927\u4e2d\u534e\u533a\u5e02\u573a\u63d0\u9ad8\u8b66\u60d5\uff0c\u6216\u8bb8\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u672a\u4e3a\u4eba\u77e5\u7684\u7406\u7531\uff0c\u4f46\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u706b\u8f66\u5934\u611f\u5230\u5fe7\u8651\uff0c\u4e5f\u7b49\u4e8e\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u611f\u5230\u60b2\u89c2\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u4f5c\u4e3a\u9886\u5934\u7f8a\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u56de\u987e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u5468\u671f\uff0c\u4fbf\u4f1a\u53d1\u89c9\u4ed6\u4eec\u6700\u8fd1\u8d8b\u4e8e\u4fdd\u5b88\u6216\u8bb8\u5e76\u975e\u5076\u7136\u3002
\n 
\n\u7b14\u8005\u7684\u89c2\u5bdf\u662f\uff0c\u81ea\u4e8c\u6218\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb70\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u5927\u7ea6\u6bcf\u4e03\u5e74\u6216\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf82\u4e2a\u6708\u4fbf\u4f8b\u5fc5\u51fa\u73b0\u4e00\u6b21\u9876\u5c16\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u4f46\u968f\u4e4b\u800c\u6765\u7684\u5374\u662f\u8dcc\u52bf\u51cc\u5389\u7684\u80a1\u707e\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u6709\u51e0\u56de\u8fd8\u89e6\u53d1\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u800c2014\u5e74\u6b63\u597d\u5904\u5728\u98ce\u53e3\u6d6a\u5c16\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u63d0\u9ad8\u8b66\u60d5\u7684\u5e74\u4efd\u3002
\n 
\n\u6839\u636e\u5386\u53f2\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u4e8c\u6218\u540e\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u5206\u522b\u57281946\u30011953\u30011960\u30011966\u30011973\u30011981\u30011987\u30011994\u30012000\u548c2007\u5e74\u51fa\u73b0\u8fc7\u9876\u5c16\u9ad8\u70b9\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c1973\u5e74\u5e26\u6765\u5168\u7403\u77f3\u6cb9\u5371\u673a\uff0c1987\u5e74\u5236\u9020\u4e86\u8457\u540d\u7684“\u9ed1\u8272\u661f\u671f\u4e00”\uff0c\u800c2000\u5e74\u5219\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u5d29\u76d8\u7684\u60e8\u70c8\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u90fd\u5e94\u58f0\u800c\u8dcc\uff0c\u8fc5\u901f\u6b65\u5165\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u5341\u6b21\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u5dc5\u5cf0\u671f\uff0c\u9664\u4e861987\u548c2007\u5e74\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u4f59\u7684\u9ad8\u70b9\u90fd\u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u3002
\n 
\n\u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u90fd\u5bf92007\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u6b21\u8d37\u5371\u673a\u6240\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u80a1\u707e\u8bb0\u5fc6\u72b9\u65b0\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u81f3\u4eca\u4ecd\u4ee5\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c1a\u672a\u4ece\u90a3\u573a\u5371\u673a\u4e2d\u5b8c\u5168\u5eb7\u590d\u4e3a\u7531\uff0c\u4e0d\u65ad\u63a8\u51fa\u91cf\u5316\u5bbd\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff08Quantitative Easing\uff09\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u8d2d\u4e70\u503a\u5238\u5c06\u73b0\u91d1\u6ce8\u5165\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u786e\u4fdd\u4e00\u4e2a\u8d44\u91d1\u6210\u672c\u4f4e\u5ec9\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u5145\u6c9b\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u3002\u5b83\u7684\u6770\u4f5c\uff0c\u4fbf\u662f\u4e00\u4e3e\u5c06\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u4ece\u6ce5\u6cbc\u4e2d\u62d4\u8d77\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u63a8\u4e0a\u4e91\u9704\uff0c\u521b\u9020\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u65e0\u4e0e\u4f26\u6bd4\u7684\u8d85\u7ea7\u5927\u725b\u5e02\u548c\u8d44\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u3002
\n 
\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u91cf\u5316\u5bbd\u677e\u63a5\u8fd1\u5c3e\u58f0<\/strong>
\n 
\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e09\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u80a1\u7968\u6307\u6570\u81ea2009\u5e743\u6708\u8dcc\u5230\u8c37\u5e95\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4fbf\u56e0\u53d7\u5230\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5927\u5370\u949e\u7968\u7684\u9f13\u821e\uff0c\u9646\u7eed\u98d9\u5347\u81f3\u4eca\u3002\u540c\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u70b9\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u9053\u743c\u65af\u5de5\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u817e\u5347157%\uff0c\u6db5\u76d6\u9762\u66f4\u5e7f\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u666e\u5c14500\u6307\u6570\u5219\u4e0a\u626c185%\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u7684\u7eb3\u65af\u8fbe\u514b\u6307\u6570\uff08Nasdaq\uff09\u66f4\u731b\u6da8245%\u3002\u5fc5\u987b\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e09\u5927\u6307\u6570\u4e4b\u540e\u90fd\u5148\u540e\u7a81\u78342007\u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u524d\u4e24\u8005\u66f4\u521b\u51fa\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u6da8\u5e45\u53ef\u8c13\u5168\u7403\u4e4b\u51a0\u3002
\n 
\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u65e9\u5df2\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u5c06\u5728\u672a\u6765\u8fd9\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u9010\u6e10\u51cf\u5c11\u8d2d\u4e70\u503a\u5238\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u3002\u6362\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u91cf\u5316\u5bbd\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5df2\u7ecf\u63a5\u8fd1\u5c3e\u58f0\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u5e74\u6765\u8d44\u91d1\u6210\u672c\u4f4e\u5ec9\u3001\u73b0\u91d1\u6e90\u6e90\u6d41\u5165\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u65f6\u4ee3\u5373\u5c06\u7ed3\u675f\u3002\u800c\u4e14\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u4e0a\u5347\u52302%\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u52306.5%\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e5f\u6781\u53ef\u80fd\u6253\u7834\u76ee\u524d\u51e0\u4e4e\u662f\u96f6\u5229\u7387\u7684\u5c40\u9762\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u52a0\u606f\u6765\u63a7\u5236\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6700\u4e0d\u60f3\u770b\u5230\u7684\u4e8b\u5b9e\u3002
\n 
\n\u65e0\u8bba\u5982\u4f55\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u6bcf\u4e03\u5e74\u4e00\u5ea6\u7684\u9ad8\u6218\u6817\u65f6\u671f\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fd1\u5728\u7709\u776b\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u80a1\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u614c\u4e0d\u62e9\u8def\u72c2\u629b\u80a1\u7968\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u660e\u667a\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5e94\u8be5\u77e5\u9053\u5982\u4f55\u907f\u9669\u6c42\u5b89\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u674e\u5609\u8bda\u5728\u5927\u9646\u548c\u9999\u6e2f\u51cf\u6301\u8d44\u4ea7\u5c31\u4e0d\u96be\u7406\u89e3\u4e86\u3002
\n <\/p>\n

\u80a1\u5e02\u5dc5\u5cf0\u5e74     \u9053\u743c\u65af\u6307\u6570    \u4e0e\u4e0a\u4e00\u5dc5\u5cf0\u76f8\u9694\/\u6708
\n1946                 212.50                   —       
\n1953                 293.79                  80
\n1960                 685.47                  84 
\n1966                 994.20                  72
\n1973                 1051.70                84
\n1981                 1024.05                99
\n1987                 2722.42                76
\n1994                 3978.36                77
\n2000                 11722.98              72
\n2007                 14164.53               93
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